Fun week in the NHL with David Ayres coming in as an emergency goalie. I like this kind of feel good story. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Bruins are still at the top with the Lightning falling a little behind. The Flyers have been playing very well and are climbing in the standings. In the West, the Avalanche is still on top but the Blues are making a strong push.

The predictions and rankings from my model have been a bit jumpy up to now with teams moving up or down significantly from one week to the next. This is because I chose a weighting function that gives increasing values to the most recent games. Going forward, the weights will stabalize and we will see more stability in the predictions and rankings. To learn about my model, check this post.

Here is this week’s update. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Lightnings are at the top. The top teams are in the East. In the West, the Avalanche is standing out. After a bad week, Montreal’s probability of making the playoffs keeps on improving and is down 3.6%. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL Power ranking The Lightnings reign at the top and the Avalanche holds the second spot.

With only about a third of the season left, a few teams are making a push for a playoff spot but they might not have enough games left to catch up. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Bruins climbed to the top but the Lightnings are not far behind. The Blues have been struggling of late and have dropped and their probability of winning the cup is down to 1.

An update a day late because I was too busy watching the Super Bowl. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season Eastern teams are at the top. Montreal has been playing better but even though its expected number of points is 90.6, its probability of making the playoffs is only 8.2%. Comparatively, Chicago, who plays in the western conference, is expected to get 89.

It has been two weeks since the last update. I’ll get back to post updates every Sunday in the coming weeks. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Blue Jackets have played very well recently and have climbed in the predicted standings. The Lightnings are still going strong. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL Power ranking The Lightnings are again the top team and the Blue Jackets climbed to the second spot.

Here are updates of predictions for the 2019-20 NHL season and power ranking.To learn about my model, check this post. The next update will be in two weeks. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Lightnings have won ten straight games are surging to the top. The probablity the Canadiens will make the playoffs are down to practically zero. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL

Here are updates of predictions for the 2019-20 NHL season and power ranking.To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Blues are still at the top. The Maple Leafs have significantly improved their position during the last week. The Canadiens are on the decline and have only a 5.5% probability of making the playoffs. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL

The outcome of a hockey game, or any other team sport, depends on the relative strengths of the two teams and random events (luck). Observed outcomes inform about teams’ strengths which can be summarized in a statistical model. I estimated a model of the NHL 2019-20 season with the objective of predicting standings at the end of season and the winner of the Stanley Cup, and rank teams by strength (power ranking).