NHL predictions and rankings - March 08, 2020

Teams still have between 12 and 15 games to play before the end of the season. I lot can happened in this last stretch. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season Not much has changed at the top over the last week. The Flyers continue their strong play and now hove the best odds of winning the cup, followed by the Lightning. There are now seven teams that have no chance of making of the playoffs.
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NHL predictions and rankings - March 01, 2020

Fun week in the NHL with David Ayres coming in as an emergency goalie. I like this kind of feel good story. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Bruins are still at the top with the Lightning falling a little behind. The Flyers have been playing very well and are climbing in the standings. In the West, the Avalanche is still on top but the Blues are making a strong push.
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NHL predictions and rankings - February 23, 2020

The predictions and rankings from my model have been a bit jumpy up to now with teams moving up or down significantly from one week to the next. This is because I chose a weighting function that gives increasing values to the most recent games. Going forward, the weights will stabalize and we will see more stability in the predictions and rankings. To learn about my model, check this post.
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Changements climatiques en Beauce - deuxième partie

Dans la première partie des cette série sur les effets des changements climatiques en Beauce, j’ai publié quelques figures qui montrent une augmentation de la température depuis de début des années 1900 mais aussi une période plus froide dans les années cinquantes attribuée aux émissions d’aérosols sulfatés par les centrales au charbon. Dans cette deuxième partie, je propose d’aller plus loin et de mesurer la croissance de la température annuelle moyenne en Beauce.
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NHL predictions and rankings - February 16, 2020

Here is this week’s update. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Lightnings are at the top. The top teams are in the East. In the West, the Avalanche is standing out. After a bad week, Montreal’s probability of making the playoffs keeps on improving and is down 3.6%. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL Power ranking The Lightnings reign at the top and the Avalanche holds the second spot.
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NHL predictions and rankings - February 09, 2020

With only about a third of the season left, a few teams are making a push for a playoff spot but they might not have enough games left to catch up. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Bruins climbed to the top but the Lightnings are not far behind. The Blues have been struggling of late and have dropped and their probability of winning the cup is down to 1.
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NHL predictions and rankings - February 03, 2020

An update a day late because I was too busy watching the Super Bowl. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season Eastern teams are at the top. Montreal has been playing better but even though its expected number of points is 90.6, its probability of making the playoffs is only 8.2%. Comparatively, Chicago, who plays in the western conference, is expected to get 89.
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NHL predictions and rankings - January 26, 2020

It has been two weeks since the last update. I’ll get back to post updates every Sunday in the coming weeks. To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Blue Jackets have played very well recently and have climbed in the predicted standings. The Lightnings are still going strong. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL Power ranking The Lightnings are again the top team and the Blue Jackets climbed to the second spot.
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Changements climatiques en Beauce - première partie

Comme plusieurs, je suis préoccupé par les changements climatiques. Il est difficile de différencier les aléas de la météo des changements climatiques observés sur le long terme. Les discussions sur les changements climatiques portent habituellement sur le futur mais déjà aujourd’hui ils nous affectent. Je suis curieux de savoir quels ont été les effets des changements climatiques dans la région de la Beauce jusqu’à maintenant. Venant d’une famille d’acériculteurs en Beauce, je me préoccupe en particulier des effets des changements climatiques au printemps, lors de la saison des sucres.
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NHL predictions and rankings - January 12, 2020

Here are updates of predictions for the 2019-20 NHL season and power ranking.To learn about my model, check this post. The next update will be in two weeks. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Lightnings have won ten straight games are surging to the top. The probablity the Canadiens will make the playoffs are down to practically zero. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL
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