NHL predictions and rankings - January 5, 2020

Here are updates of predictions for the 2019-20 NHL season and power ranking.To learn about my model, check this post. Predictions for the 2019-20 season The Blues are still at the top. The Maple Leafs have significantly improved their position during the last week. The Canadiens are on the decline and have only a 5.5% probability of making the playoffs. Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL
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NHL predictions and rankings - December 31, 2019

The outcome of a hockey game, or any other team sport, depends on the relative strengths of the two teams and random events (luck). Observed outcomes inform about teams’ strengths which can be summarized in a statistical model. I estimated a model of the NHL 2019-20 season with the objective of predicting standings at the end of season and the winner of the Stanley Cup, and rank teams by strength (power ranking).
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