NHL predictions and rankings - February 23, 2020


The predictions and rankings from my model have been a bit jumpy up to now with teams moving up or down significantly from one week to the next. This is because I chose a weighting function that gives increasing values to the most recent games. Going forward, the weights will stabalize and we will see more stability in the predictions and rankings. To learn about my model, check this post.

Predictions for the 2019-20 season

The Bruins are at the top but the Lightning is right behind. In the West, the Avalanche is still on top. Four teams have zero chance of making the playoffs but only Detroit is officially eliminated.

Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL

Power ranking

The Lightning and the Avalanche still hold the top two spots. The Blues have climbed back into the top ten.

Table 2: Power ranking of NHL teams