Predictions for the 2022-23 season

The Bruins are the big favourite, no surprised there. According to the model, the probability they will win the Cup is 44%, which is huge.

Let’s look at the first round individual match-ups.

• Bruins (88.9%) vs Panthers (11.1%): The Bruins will win, but I doubt it will be in 4 as the Panthers have been good of late.

• Maple Leafs (73.6%) vs Lightning (26.4%): That won’t be easy for the Leafs. I think they will finally break through the first round but it’s going to be tough against of seasoned Lightning team.

• Hurricanes (64.8%) vs Islanders (35.2%): The Hurricanes clearly have the better team, but they don’t have the best goalie. That could make that series interesting.

• Devils (41.7%) vs Ranger (58.3%): That’s the one series where the away team is favourite to win. The Rangers have been better lately and I think they’ll win.

• Avalanche (64.1%) vs Kraken (35.9%): I don’t see the Avalanche having too much trouble getting through the Kraken.

• Stars (65.5%) vs Wild (34.5%): I don’t expect it will be all that easy for the Stars.

• Golden Knights (71.4%) vs Jets (28.6%): I do not see the Golden Knights have too much trouble, although I don’t see the Jets falling in four.

• Oilers (67.9%) vs Kings (32.1%): The Oilers will score a lot of goals, I don’t think the Kings can do much about that.

Table 1: Predictions for end of season standings in the NHL

Power ranking

The Bruins are on top. The Jets are the lowest ranked team that made the playoffs.

Table 2: Power ranking of NHL teams