NHL predictions and rankings - November 14, 2024


Alright, first predictions and power ranking for the 2024-25 season. It’s still early but nonetheless interesting to see what the beginning of the season has given us.

I made only minor corrections to the model. Most significantly, I give less weight to blowouts. Teams take their goalies earlier than ever and even will event take the goalie out when loosing by two or three goals. Loosing by three, four, or five goals does not make much of a difference and the model now better captures that.

Predictions for the 2024-25 season

Not surprisingly the Jets are at the top. They have dominated in the first month. Two teams already have a zero chance of making the playoffs. I expect that for the Canadiens that it will not last.

Power ranking

The Jets are the top, obviously. Despite their weak start, the Oilers are 7 in the power ranking.